Unexpectedly, Tesla eventually planted on Bitcoin
According to US media statistics, at the beginning of this year, Tesla CEO Musk bought 46,000 bitcoins at an average price of $32,600. In the first quarter of this year, he sold 10% of his bitcoin holdings at a price close to historical highs of US$59,100, or 4600 bitcoins, bringing in revenue of US$272 million, and achieved 1.01 in the first quarter. Billion dollars in pre-tax profit.
Bitcoin reached a record high of $64,778 in mid-April this year. However, since late May, the selling pressure of cryptocurrencies has continued to increase, and Bitcoin has started a falling mode, and finally recorded a year low of $2,8901.8 in June. Its price fell by half within two months.
Bitcoin fell below US$30,000 again this Tuesday, with the lowest plummeting to around US$29,300, a drop of 5% within the day. At present, Bitcoin has regained its position at the $30,000 mark. Tesla’s Bitcoin holdings have shrunk significantly. If Bitcoin continues to fall, Tesla’s investment will suffer losses. If the price of Bitcoin drops to US$25,000, Tesla will lose US$300 million. If it drops to US$20,000, the loss may further expand to US$500 million, which is equivalent to Tesla's entire pre-tax profit in the first quarter.
As can be seen from the K-line chart, Bitcoin has basically completed the head-and-shoulders pattern. As long as the neckline falls, Bitcoin is likely to usher in a sharp decline again.
On July 26 (next Monday) Tesla will release its second quarter earnings report after the market. Looking back on the Q1 financial report, after Tesla announced 184,000 vehicle delivery data, the market generally expected its revenue to perform well. However, unexpectedly, Tesla’s average selling price has dropped, which has led to the company’s sales. Closed below expectations. It is not difficult to see the problems exposed by Tesla behind the "crazy price cut". Although the net profit exceeded expectations, from the subsequent stock price performance, investors do not seem to buy it.
As of Tuesday's close, Tesla reported 660.5. Although the stock price has fallen by only 6.4% this year, it has fallen nearly 27% from the January high of 900.4.
Regarding Tesla's Q2 financial report, in fact, it is not difficult to calculate his revenue based on the previously announced new car deliveries. Tesla Q2 delivered a total of 201250 electric vehicles. According to the previous bicycle price of about 50,000 US dollars, its sales are about 10 billion US dollars, plus the income from energy and maintenance services is about 1 billion US dollars. , And about 500 million U.S. dollars in revenue brought by carbon credits, Tesla is likely to exceed 11.5 billion U.S. dollars in revenue.
However, Tesla's net profit may not be so good-looking. The reason why Q1 can have a net profit of 438 million US dollars is inseparable from the popularity of Bitcoin. But Q2 Bitcoin's sharp drop may cause it to have a book loss of nearly 100 million U.S. dollars. Therefore, the issue of Bitcoin's income is definitely a major highlight of this financial report.
Tesla's investment in Bitcoin at first seemed like an adventurous and even leading move. The irony is that it may now stifle the company's profit for a quarter, or even worse.
